Top ten hotel openings in the Middle East 2010 (#8)

Kempinski Nile Luxury hotel chain Kempinski opened the first five-star boutique hotel in Egyptian capital Cairo, the Kempinski Nile. Offering 137 rooms and 54 suites, the Kempinski Nile overlooks the banks of the famous river. Designed by French architect Pierre Yves Rochon, guests can choose from four restaurants and four bars, including a rooftop bar and shisha bar. The hotel also offers a spa and health club, private balconies, a pillow concierge and a butler service for residents. Recent figures suggest that Egypt is currently seeing something of a tourism boom – helped by the weakness of the UK pound, British tourism to Egypt was up 20% in 2009 for example. FAST FACT: One of the hotel’s restaurants has no menu – chefs are on hand to cook all dishes to order on request.  Click here for full article and photos from Arabian Business.com….

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Top ten hotel openings in the Middle East 2010 (#9)

Grand Millennium Al Wahda The 850-room Grand Millennium Al Wahda has 585 rooms, 265 residences and is the largest hotel in Abu Dhabi. While normally size isn’t everything, you have to say in Abu Dhabi it is. The additional rooms had a positive impact on rates (if you are a guest) and will help to secure the long-term ambitions of the UAE capital’s tourism strategy. The hotel also boasts the largest health club in the city with a 2700m2 spa, swimming pool and large gym. Guest rooms are high-tech, with features such as multi-line telephones with data ports, wireless internet connection, 37-inch LCD televisions, Bose sound systems, and heated towel racks. Dining venues include the Porterhouse American Bar and Grill; the Asian restaurant Toshi; Portobello Italian eatery; and the Al Wahda for all-day dining. FAST FACT: Central Abu Dhabi is an island, not part of mainland UAE.  Click here for full article and photos from Arabian Business.com….

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Top ten hotel openings in the Middle East 2010 (#10)

Rose Rayhaan by Rotana Rotana, the UAE-based hotel group, opened the world’s tallest hotel at the start of 2010. The Rose Rayhaan by Rotana on Sheikh Zayed Road is 72 storeys and 333 metres high and offers 481 rooms, suites and penthouses? It has also made it into the Guiness Book of Records. The new hotel operates under the group’s alcohol-free brand, the second in the group after Al Marwa Rayhaan, KSA. ‘This alcohol-free option reflects our respect for the culture and beliefs of our guests and our dedication to fostering a new Arabia in today’s world,’ said Daniel Mathew, general manager. The Rose Rayhaan was one of the few properties that received anywhere near the amount of coverage that the Armani Hotel garnered. Obviously a very different hotel, but by all accounts it has been doing very well, despite having to spend a lot of time cleaning the significant number of windows in the property. The results are certainly worth it though as the property boastsunspoiled views of The World development and Sheikh Zayed Road.  Click here for full article and photos from Arabian Business.com….

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Dubai property prices fall 1.9% in January 2011, no signs of recovery…

Property prices in Dubai, the Arabian Gulf business hub, fell 1.9 percent in January while rents dropped 0.7 percent, Deutsche Bank said.  “Although the pace of decline has slowed lately, we still do not see any improvement in fundamentals that could trigger a recovery,” analysts Nabil Ahmed and Athmane Benzerroug wrote in a note to clients, seen by Bloomberg.  “The supply overhang still looms large, homebuyers still lack appetite, transaction volumes remain anemic, banks remain cautious lenders and international investors are still wary of the UAE property market.”  Emaar Properties is Deutsche Bank’s top pick among UAE developers “given its more resilient profile,” according to the note.

Analysts in January predicted that Dubai property prices, already 60 percent off their peak, will plunge a further 10 percent over the next two years as fresh supply floods the market.  A property boom in Dubai collapsed at the end of 2008 when it was hit by the global financial crisis and the Gulf state’s debt crisis.  In oil-rich Abu Dhabi, which weathered the financial crisis better than Dubai, prices have already fallen 45 percent from their peak.  The UAE’s Minister of Economy last month told Arabian Business that concerns about oversupply were exaggerated as project cancellations had thinned the real estate pipeline.  “I believe the worst is over for property. And in my estimation, at the end of 2011 and beginning of 2012, we will see positive movement,” said Sultan Al Mansouri.  Click here for full story…

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Condo sale caps downtown LA complex’s final stage

LOS ANGELES—The builder of downtown Los Angeles’ LA Live development says the entire hotel and entertainment complex is now officially open for business, with the first buyer closing escrow on a unit in the center’s luxury condo tower.  Entertainment company AEG says the completion of the unit’s sale Tuesday in the Ritz-Carlton Residences completes the 5-year process that began with the development’s groundbreaking.  LA Live, which also includes concert venues, hotels, restaurants and a Grammy Awards museum, has been credited with helping revive the city’s long-neglected downtown.  The company says some 60 percent of the Ritz-Carlton’s 224 condos are in escrow. Prices range from $850,000 for one-bedroom unit to $9.3 million for a penthouse suite.  AEG’s attentions have now turned to plans for an NFL stadium it wants to build nearby. Click here for full article….

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The man who designed the world’s tallest tower, one year on….

As the Burj Khalifa lit up the Dubai sky with fireworks in the early hours of 2011, the world’s tallest tower was days away from another anniversary – its first birthday.

From his office on the 42nd floor of Emirates Towers, Eric Tomich wouldn’t have been able to see the fireworks, because although the southern side of the twin towers commands excellent views of the Burj Khalifa, Tomich’s office faces Sheikh Zayed Road and Dubai Creek.  He loves the Burj, but that doesn’t mean he needs to look at it every day.  “I feel like I hand-built parts of it,” Tomich says, gazing at the tower from the empty Burj-facing office he had requested for the benefit of Middle East Architect’s photographer.

He never doubted it either. Even when the economy faltered and construction sites slammed to a halt all over Dubai. Even when the money looked like it had run out. Even when everyone said Dubai was done.  “It had too much momentum. In a way, Dubai’s reputation was riding on the building. I never ever thought that it would stop, not once,” he said.  It had been a big step for Tomich, a Berkeley-educated architect who has been with SOM for over 25 years and headed up the firm’s technical architecture office in London from 1989 to 2003. He had worked on some big projects in London, including the Broadgate development, but the tallest tower in the world was for him – as it would be for anyone – a huge move.

“When we won this competition I didn’t think about it for very long, I just took the job. I thought it would be a fantastic assignment and it was,” he recalls. “It’s a different environment, a different climate, but I find the Middle East a very exciting place to work.”  Since the completion of the Burj, SOM has scaled down its workforce in the UAE, and currently Tomich is the lone representative of the Chicago-based architectural giant in Dubai. But that was not as much a response to the global recession as a ongoing business philosophy, he says.  “You don’t need an office here to produce the work, but once you have the job, you can’t build it on email.

“On the Burj we had consultants from everywhere, LA, Sydney, Paris, UK, Chicago and at some point we had to come together, and everybody would fly in to have a round-table with the client. Even with video conferencing you still need face to face contact. You can do a lot of things remotely, but you can’t do everything by email.”  Especially with a client like Emaar’s visionary chairman Mohammed Alabbar, who Tomich is still quick to pay tribute to one year after the Burj Khalifa was finished. He describes a man who realised early on that it wasn’t enough for the Burj Khalifa to be the biggest building in the world, it had to be the best. From the design down to the doorknobs, quality was paramount if the building was to be successful in the long term.

“I think he knew that having this icon, creating this shape on the skyline, it was assured that it was going to be famous. But he also realised that the experience that people had would be when they were in the building, approaching it, living and working in it,” Tomich recalls.  “He wanted the best building in the world, and we really drove an agenda of quality in how we approached finishes and how we made that quality happen. We were very careful about who got appointed to do the finish work, we hand-selected all the materials. We even went to Brazil twice to hand select the veneer. We hand-selected all of the stone, the marble, everything.”

Click here for full article from Arabian Business…..

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Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. Prices Initial Public Offering

Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. (NYSE: INN) (the “Company”) today announced the pricing of its initial public offering of 26,000,000 shares of common stock at a public offering price of $9.75 per share.

The offering is expected to close on February 14, 2011. The underwriters have been granted a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 3,900,000 shares at the public offering price, less the underwriting discount, to cover over-allotments, if any. All the shares are being offered by the Company. The shares are expected to begin trading on February 9, 2011 on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “INN.”

Concurrent with the closing of the offering, the Company expects to raise additional proceeds through a private placement to an affiliate of InterContinental Hotels Group on the terms described in the prospectus relating to the offering.

The Company will contribute the net proceeds of the offering and concurrent private placement to its operating partnership, which will use the net proceeds to repay or extinguish existing indebtedness and to fund capital improvements at the Company’s hotels and for general corporate and working capital purposes.

Deutsche Bank Securities, Baird and RBC Capital Markets are the joint book-running managers of the offering. The co-managers of the offering are KeyBanc Capital Markets and Morgan Keegan.  From Business Wire….(BUSINESS WIRE)

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US Special servicers see more troubles ahead for distressed hotels in America

UNITED STATES DISTRESSED HOTEL REPORT | CMBS (Commercial Mortgage-backed Security) – Special servicers have seen a lightening of the load with regard to hotel assets during recent months, but it might be the calm before the storm. With a flurry of loan maturities during the next three years, special servicers anticipate a hectic schedule. Until then, things have begun to slow, according to several special servicers participating in a panel discussion during last week’s 10th annual Fishing for Solutions conference at the Gaylord Texan Hotel & Convention Center.

Panel moderator Kevin Donahue, VP of special servicing at Midland Loan Services, said the pace of transfers has moderated and it seems better because 2009 was such an extraordinary year. Panel moderator Kevin Donahue, VP of special servicing at Midland Loan Services, said the pace of transfers has moderated and it seems better because 2009 was such an extraordinary year. (Credit: Chris Bryan/Prism Hotels & Resorts) “It has started to cool down, but we have seen an increase in special service transfers in the last 30 days, particularly in hotel assets,” said Curt Spaugh, senior VP of Helios AMC.

Spaugh said Helios AMC is seeing two to three transfers going out for each one coming in.  Michael O’Hanlon, senior VP of Berkadia Commercial Mortgage, said his company’s portfolio consists mostly of projects funded prior to 2004. “Our transfers have slowed down considerably in the last three months,” he said. “Due to the age of our pools we have a lot of maturity defaults. It’s going to continue at this pace for another year.” O’Hanlon said his company is seeing two assets leaving for every one that comes in during the past several months. Dan Olsen, senior VP of KeyBank Real Estate Capital, said his firm picked up about US$47 billion in distressed CMBS loans since 2007, and the bulk of that was priced with floating interest rates. A number of those floating rate deals are running out of extension possibilities.

“That floating-rate financing… if the financing doesn’t come in, we’re going to have a little bit of a problem with those final extension dates,” he said. “Once that extension option in the deal expires, all of that product is going to come into special servicers,” O’Hanlon said. “And there’s a lot of that out there.” Olsen said there is a potential solution to help hotel owners who are facing the end of extensions. “While you can’t extend a loan beyond that date, there’s nothing that says you can’t forbear,” he said. “We’re going to find a workaround, and right now we think forbearance is the workaround at this point.”  Click here for full report from Jeff Higley at Hotel News Now….

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REIT: Another four-letter word or a golden opportunity?

Why has REIT become a four letter word?  One reason is that REITs — professionally managed portfolios of real estate holdings – have had a great deal of negative press due to the high level of foreclosures and other distressed property sales. But the reality is that REITs are taking advantage of today’s lower values in the real estate market and in 2010 are already showing strong returns.  REITs offer an opportunity for investors to add a new asset class to their portfolios. First, REITs traditionally have a very low correlation to conventional assets like stocks and bonds and typically have gone up during stock downturns. Second, REITs have historically been a hedge against inflation. Lastly, REITs pay an income stream and are required by law to distribute at least 90 percent of their annual taxable income to shareholders.

Of course, REITs still involve risks associated with real estate, such as property value fluctuations, lack of liquidity, limited diversification and sensitivity to the economy.  There are also some good reasons to invest in the shares of a REIT versus investing directly in a specified property. The most important is diversification, which reduces a number of risk factors. For example, if you own an income-producing property in South Florida — individually or with partners — you live and die by the local economy.

A slowdown in retail sales may increase shopping center vacancies. A downturn in jobs means less demand for rental apartments. And a powerful hurricane could put your entire real estate investment at risk. That’s not the case with a REIT, whose holdings might include properties in New York, Wichita, Montreal or Sydney — almost anywhere in the world.  REITs may provide an investor with greater flexibility and liquidity. Because they typically specialize in one type of property — offices, apartments, retail, hotel, healthcare, self storage — an investor can change investment strategies based on market conditions. Also, it’s much easier and faster to sell shares in a REIT than to try and unload an apartment building that’s not doing well. You don’t have to deal with real estate brokers, agents, appraisals, mortgage lenders or closings.

Because REITs are professionally managed, they usually do a good job of picking out the diamonds hidden away in their chosen markets. And there is one more benefit — the low cost of entry. An investor can purchase 100 or 500 or 1,000 shares of a REIT for far less than buying a commercial or residential property, and without the complexity of contracts, lawyers and property management companies.  Currently, there are about 125 REITs listed on the New York Stock Exchange, providing a wide variety of investment styles and strategies for investors. The REIT rebound over the past 18 months has allowed many funds to build up their capital reserves and purchase distressed properties at low prices. With a modest injection of funds for renovation, these properties could be repositioned to attract higher quality tenants, potentially adding significant value over the next few years.

With the uncertain state of the nation’s economic recovery, it’s hard to forecast how well REITs will perform for the rest of 2010. But a slow improvement in the economy should result in more stable property values and a decline in vacancy rates, which presents a buying opportunity over the long term. While stocks have historically been a leading economic indicator, real estate is often a lagging economic indicator. In the office market, for instance, unemployment rates would typically drop before demand for space picks up. In retail, consumer confidence and spending usually rise in advance of shopping center leasing activity.  With their advantages of liquidity, flexibility and diversification, REITs can fit nicely into almost any investor’s portfolio. Even though the unprecedented rise in real estate we experienced from 2000 to 2005 will most likely not happen again in our lifetimes, REITs remain a solid long-term play. If you’re a prudent investor, this could be the right time to consider adding REITs to an investment portfolio.  Click here for full report from the Miami Herald….

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Have Commercial Real Estate Prices Bottomed Out?

CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices

  • Investment grade real estate continued its positive pricing trend from August with a strong 5.48% increase in September based on the just-released CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices (CCRSI).
  • For the first time since the second quarter of 2007, the four primary property types within the commercial real estate repeat sales index showed an increase in pricing in the third quarter.
  • The CoStar investment grade real estate index remains down 4.89% from the same period last year, and down 29.08% from two years ago. However, for the third quarter, the investment grade real estate index increased 5.46%. This is a significant reversal from the previous quarter, as the investment grade real estate index was down 3.24%. The CoStar investment grade index is therefore showing positive price movement quarter over quarter.
  • Conversely, the Moody’s/REAL Commercial Property Price Index (CPPI) reported a decline of 3.3% for August 2010, while CoStar’s investment grade index reported increases in August and again in September. The Moody’s CPPI August release triggered a number of “doom and gloom” stories in the media, just as CoStar’s commercial repeat sales index reported CRE sales figures heading in a positive direction.
  • Investors, lenders and the media will undoubtedly want to understand why the two indices, which track similar property types, are providing such different views of investment grade real estate pricing.
  • Click here for full report from CoStar Group
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Dallas-Fort Worth hotel foreclosure filings more than triple

Business and tourist travel is picking up, but the number of Dallas-Fort Worth hotels facing foreclosure this year has more than tripled.  So far in 2010, 94 North Texas hotel foreclosure filings have been recorded. There were 30 filings for the same period in 2009, according to Foreclosure Listing Service Inc.  ”Among D-FW hotels, the threat of foreclosure has skyrocketed over the past two years,” said George Roddy, president of the Addison-based foreclosure-tracking firm. “For the upcoming foreclosure auctions on Oct. 5, eight postings have been filed, threatening hotel projects within the area.”

The hotels threatened with forced sale include the Crowne Plaza inAddison , the Radisson Hotel and Suites near Love Field and the Element Hotel on LBJ Freeway near Dallas/Fort Worth InternationalAirport.  Hotels with more than $120 million in debt are up for auction next month by the lenders, Foreclosure Listing Service reports.  ”The vast majority of the hotel foreclosure postings involved smaller, class B and C projects,” Roddy said.

Some of the biggest local foreclosure filings this year have been for hotels. The foreclosure of the 431-room Four Seasons Resort and Club Dallas at Las Colinas with $175 million in debt was the largest such mortgage default in North Texas in about two decades.  Hotel market analysts say the surge in hotel foreclosures is typical for the economic times.  ”People are hanging on by their fingernails, and just as things start to get better, they run out of fingernails,” said longtime Texas hotel market consultant John Keeling. “The recession has just gone on too long.”  Click here for full report from Dallas  Morning News…

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Los Angeles market report

Important points from the new market update from Jones Lang LaSalle:
  • Los Angeles—a sought-after hotel investment market
  • Los Angeles—significant hotel investor interest
  • Los Angeles— large number of high-profile properties have traded
  • Los Angeles—demand fundamentals continue to improve
  • Los Angeles—supply pipeline will remain in check with lack of debt
  • Los Angeles—#2 in USA for overseas visitors (NYC #1)
  • Los Angeles—LAX expanding to increase travelers
  • Los Angeles—large convention and meeting activity to increase
  • Los Angeles—no Hilton Garden Inn, Courtyard by Marriott, aloft, or similarly branded hotel in downtown Los Angeles or Santa Monica
Click here for full report from Jones Lang LaSalle: Hotel Intelligence_Los Angeles Some very solid points JLL, JLD.
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CMBS Debt breakdown on Coronado San Diego

CORONADO, California—The venture owning the Hotel del Coronado in San Diego is currently working to restructure the debt on the property.  Strategic Hotels & Resorts, which leads the venture with 45% ownership, disclosed that negotiations are underway to restructure the property’s mortgage and mezzanine loans, according to a 10-Q filed 4 November with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

“Due to the severe contraction in the credit markets, the reduction in real estate values generally across the luxury hospitality market, and the size and complexity of the existing financing, there can be no assurance that the Hotel Venture … will be able to refinance or restructure this indebtedness or cure or receive a waiver for an event of default if one were to occur,” Strategic said in the SEC filing.

The venture has US$610 million of non-recourse mortgage and mezzanine debt financings and a US$20 million non-recourse revolving credit facility, which are secured partially by the mortgage on the property. The mortgage and mezzanine debt financings and revolving credit facility mature 7 January 2011. From Hotel News Now….



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Sunstone portfolio up for sale

The following foreclosed portfolio is on the market and ready to be sold.  This is from Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc that defaulted on the loan last year.  Portfolio is of institutional quality with great flags.  The portfolio includes 1,245 guestrooms as follows:

Current market transactions and pricing on these assets would suggest a range from 65,000 per key upwards to 125,000 per key.  We would estimate a fair price at about 72,000-77,000 per key (without consideration of full due diligence) for an estimated bid transaction price of $95MM for the portfolio.  From a simple replacement cost valuation at 125,000 per key would provide a transaction of about 62 cents on the replacement cost value.   This transaction is not a diversified portfolio that fits our parameters, as is too heavy in Southern California, otherwise would be something we would further investigate.   Being represented by Jones Lang LaSalle….JLD

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Sternlicht at it again with Viceroy

The bank is selling its mortgage on the Viceroy Anguilla to Barry Sternlicht’s Starwood Capital Group at a hefty discount, according to Anguillan Chief Minister Hubert Hughes and others familiar with the talks. The debt has a face value of close to $300 million, these people said. Starwood is paying $105 million, according to Mr. Hughes.  The deal is the latest example of a capitulation by a bank that has nursed a troubled real-estate project for years. For most of the economic downturn, banks were unwilling to sell ailing assets for fear of the damage the losses would do to their balance sheets. But as the banking sector has stabilized, some are showing a willingness to dump bad loans.

Citigroup has been particularly active. In February, KSL Capital Partners LLC paid Citigroup roughly $120 million for the $380 million mortgage on the 479-room La Costa Resort and Spa in Carlsbad, Calif. Citigroup also is close after two rounds of bidding to selling a $340 million portfolio of loans backed by warehouses and manufacturing facilities to Oaktree Capital Management LP for $228 million, or about 67 cents on the dollar, according to people familiar with the matter.  The willingness of Citigroup and others to sell has been good news for Starwood and other firms, which have raised capital to take advantage of the mistakes of others. Starwood, which has $14 billion of assets under management, last year also won the bidding war run by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. for the condominium assets of Corus Bank after the lender failed.  click here for full story from the WSJ…

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Milford Plaza sold for US $200 MM

NEW YORK—(Hotel News Now) Highgate Holdings and Rockpoint Group LLC paid US$200 million to acquire the 1,300-room Milford Plaza Hotel located less than a block from Times Square.  The seller was Milford Plaza Associates LLC, an affiliate of Ogden CAP Properties. The official name of the buyer, as listed on the property’s deed, is RP/HH Milford Plaza Owner. The purchase amounts to US$153,846 per room.

The hotel’s consolidated US$85-million mortgage was paid off in 2003 by Milford Plaza Associates, according to the New York City Department of Finance.  New York City Real Property Transfer Tax amounted to US$5.25 million and New York State Real Estate Transfer Tax totaled US$800,000 on the deal, records show.

An Ogden representative referred calls to an outside public relations agency. Officials at Highgate and Rockpoint declined comment, according to a representative at an outside public relations agency.  Milford Plaza was built during the 1920s and occupies the block of Eighth Avenue between 44th and 45th streets. Highgate and Rockpoint plan to renovate the exterior of the hotel along with the guestrooms, according to a news release. Restaurant and retail components also will be added to the property’s ground floor.

Read More »

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Commercial Real Estate Numbers

We, like everyone else, hope that things will start to turn around but with the fundamental numbers looking as they do it is hard to hold out hope (From RealPoint):

  • Special servicing exposure increased for the 26th straight month to approximately $88.6 billion across 4,830 loans in June 2010, up from $83.38 billion across 4,755 loans in May 2010 and $81.38 billion across 4,689 loans in April 2010.
  • For the 31st straight month, the total unpaid principal balance for specially-serviced CMBS when compared to 12 months prior increased, by a high $48.07 billion since June 2009. Such exposure is up over 119% in the trailing-12 months.
  • Conversely, for historical reference, special servicing exposure was below $4 billion for 11 straight months through October 2007.
  • Exposure by property type is now heavily weighted towards office collateral at 24%, followed by retail at 22% and multifamily at 21%.
  • Unpaid principal balance noted as current but specially-serviced decreased to a low of $1.44 billion in July 2007, but has since increased to $30.9 billion (up slightly from $29.73 billion a month prior).
  • Within the 3.9% of CMBS current but specially-serviced, we found 257 loans at $27.28 billion with an unpaid principal balance at or over $20 million, compared with 266 loans at $26.04 billion with an unpaid principal balance at or over $20 million a month prior.
  • Unpaid principal balance was at or above $50 million for 128 current but specially-serviced loans in June 2010, and was at or over $100 million for 68 loans. The largest of such loans included the current but specially-serviced EOP Portfolio loan at $4.93 billion in the GSM207EO transaction, the $1 billion CNL Hotels and Resorts loan in COM06CN2, and the $775 million Beacon Seattle & DC Portfolio Roll-Up loan in MSC07I14.
  • Monthly Delinquency Report 2010
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CMBS unpaid balances reach $62.19 billion, CRE CDO delinquencies up

The delinquent unpaid balance within commercial mortgage-backed securities is more than double a year ago and 28 times higher than March 2007.

In its monthly delinquency report, Realpoint said the delinquent unpaid balance for CMBS last month rose 1.3% to $62.19 billion from $61.39 billion in August. The gain of $801.2 million in September is higher than the previous two months, but below the average of $3.14 billion a month during the first half of 2010, according to Realpoint. A year ago, the delinquent unpaid balance was $31.73 billion.  The September delinquency ratio of 8.04% rose slightly from 7.93% a month prior and is up substantially from 3.94% a year earlier, according to Realpoint. The research firm said the current ratio is 28 times higher than the record low of 0.283% in June 2007.

“The continued increase in both delinquent unpaid balance and percentage is now being impacted by the rapid growth in liquidations on a monthly basis and a potential slow-down in the reporting of new delinquency for the remainder of 2010,” according to Realpoint analysts…….

Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings said delinquencies within collateralized-debt obligations in commercial real estate loans rose 12.9% last month.  Analysts said loans secured by office and multifamily properties were more than 70% of the 19 new delinquencies last month within rated CREL CDO, including eight term defaults, seven matured balloons and four credit-impaired securities.  Click here for full article….

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CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices

OBSERVATIONS (From CoStar Group)

  • Investment grade real estate continued to slide in July by a negative 5.05% following a similar dip in June. Cumulatively that is a drop of nearly 10% in just two months, following an extremely positive 11.78% increase in May and nearly wiping out the May increase.
  • As a result, the three month change in the investment grade index ending July 31, 2010 was a slightly positive 1.01%.
  • For comparison purposes we note that the Moody’s REAL Commercial Property Price Indices (CPPI) declined in June by 4.0% not too far off of our investment grade index for June. The Moody’s REAL CPPI for July will come out in a month or so, and it will be interesting to see if it continues to follow the CoStar CCRSI for investment grade.
  • The past 12 month change in the investment grade index was -14.34% which seems huge but is far better than the minus 20% to 33% annual declines witnessed from April of 2009 through April of 2010.
  • On the positive side general commercial real estate and therefore the CoStar composite index for all commercial real estate continued to show improvement with a plus 6.41% for general commercial and plus 5.665 for the composite for the month of July. This suggests interest in second tier and third tier markets and smaller scaled properties is picking up and/or finally able to find some financing and close. The general composite index remains down by nearly 6% from a year ago but again, this is far better than observed during the previous 12 months.
  • Sales transaction dollar volumes picked up for all property types during the second quarter of 2010 with significant increases in the office sector as well as multifamily. Industrial volumes and retail remain low but also showed some increase in activity. Generally an increase in transaction volumes indicates a positive movement in prices, however, a significant proportion of distressed sales will add both volatility and noise to these indices and right now all we can say is that we are approaching a shaky bottom.
  • The most active buyers have been REITs, public and private, followed by developer/owners and individuals as well as investment managers including some hedge funds.
  • Overall distressed sales are still increasing and yet as a percent of sales, as shown below, they appear to be peaking but we should note that overall volumes are also picking up.
  • Distressed sales in the second quarter of 2010, again as a percent of transaction volume, are highest for hospitality at 35%, followed by multifamily at 28%, office at 21%, retail at 18% and industrial at about 17%.
  • CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices Press Release Full
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Starwood’s Aloft – first NYC hotel will open in Harlem

Finally New York is getting its own Aloft hotel. You know, that chic, affordable brand from the folks behind W. Not only it is the fastest hotel roll out in history, with more than 40 properties opened in two years, but Aloft also gotten attention for its modern design sensibility and cutting-edge technology.

Nearly a century has passed since Harlem got a new hotel, which makes this opening especially noteworthy. Aloft Harlem has high hopes to fill a need for visitors while also winning over residents. The hotel held a casting call over the summer at the Apollo Theater to recruit employees with personality. And earlier this week I stopped by for a media preview—catered by nearby soul-food institution Sylvia’s and held in the slick lobby bar and lounge.

Aloft Harlem will be easily recognizable to fans of the brand. The 124 rooms, with either a king or two queen platform beds, have striped pillows and window shades, cork headboards, nine-foot ceilings, 42″ flatscreen TVs, free Wi-Fi, numerous outlets, and Bliss Spa products. Bathrooms are equipped with refillable dispensers instead of throwaway plastic bottles, and a mini-fridge replaces the traditional mini-bar.

LINKS:

  1. For full article of Aloft in Harlem
  2. For article about the APEX CONDOS above the hotel
  3. To sign up for information regarding APEX CONDOS
  4. To view more photos of Aloft Harlem click here…
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