Monthly Archives: August 2009

NOI for all hotels is projected to hit all-time low with almost a 40% decline

Jim Butler of Jeffer Mangels Butler & Marmaro, article:  ”From some reactions, you might think that the likely “End Of The Recession” by the end of 2009 means that the “Recovery” is close behind.  Unfortunately, what follows next will not feel much better for many for a very long time. Nowhere is that more true [...]
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China’s SWF CIC wealth fund muscles up as markets recover

EIJING (Reuters) – China Investment Corp is investing as much overseas each month this year as it did in all of 2008, Lou Jiwei, the chairman of the $298 billion sovereign wealth fund, said on Saturday. CIC is counting on handsome returns this year and might one day ask the government to hand it more of [...]
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Man in Black: The Economic Race Hotels Will Lose

Hotel income (demand and rate) is projected to decrease (yes decrease) by 3-4% in 2010. However, if the current LIBOR of 0.27% goes up just 280 basis points, as it did in the 1994 recovery, then most floaters will go from their current 2.75% to over 5.5%- an increase of 100%.  Click here for Steve [...]
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REITs Are Poised to Pick Up the Pieces

Overleveraged private real-estate funds are gasping for money, but public property companies have been chugging down cash from the capital markets. Now, they are poised to emerge as more-dominant players when the commercial-property-market starts to recover. Many expect the landscape change to be as profound as it was in the early 1990s, when many real-estate developers [...]
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The U.S. hotel industry posted declines in all three key performance measure- ments during July, according to data from STR

In year-over-year measurements, the industry’s occupancy fell 7.3 percent to end the month at 64.1 percent. Average daily rate dropped 9.1 percent to finish the month at US$97.18. Revenue per available room for the month decreased 15.7 percent to finish at US$62.34.  FULL REPORT CLICK HERE
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Delaying the moment of truth

“Procrastination is not a virtue, except when it involves billions of dollars of debt. A mantra has taken hold of lenders sitting on loan piles: amend and extend. Or as lawyers involved in negotiations between borrowers and lenders say: delay and pray. The $6.7 trillion U.S. commercial real estate market has been a standout for such tactics [...]
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AirTran July traffic falls 5.1 percent

Passenger traffic, known as revenue passenger miles, dropped 5.1 percent to about 1.96 billion in July compared to July 2008. Capacity, or available seat miles, was down 4.1 percent. Load factor dipped 0.9 points to 88.3 percent.
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Pace of U.S. existing home sales fastest in 2 years

Sales of previously owned U.S. homes jumped 7.2 percent in July to mark the fastest pace in nearly two years, a survey showed on Friday, in a strong sign that housing is pulling out of a three-year slump. Sales in July rose for the fourth straight month to hit an annual rate of 5.24 million units, [...]
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IMF’s Olivier Blanchard: The recovery has started. Sustaining it will require delicate rebalancing acts, both within and across countries

Points of importance: “….the world is not in a run-of-the mill recession. The turnaround will not be simple. The crisis has left deep scars, which will affect both supply and demand for many years to come….” “Growth will not be quite strong enough to reduce unemployment, which is not expected to crest until some time next year.” “It [...]
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STR projects….”RevPAR to end 2009 with a 17.1% decrease to US$53.41″

Click here for Reed Business Information article. Report goes on to say RevPAR will “……end in 2010 4% lower at US$51.26.” JLD – WOW!  Need to update our proformas…. RevPAR is off by US$3.24.   Will predict -and you can hold me to this- US$58.00 at end of 2010, but modeling conservatively at [...]
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Public/Private: Actus to renovate Army hotels for IHG flags

Actus plans to renovate the hotels and has retained Intercontinental Hotels Group to place its brands on them and operate them.  Read the full story here….
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Hotel Data Conference: RevPAR’s rough ride could last until 4Q 2010

The data analysts of Smith Travel Research, PKF Hospitality Research and PricewaterhouseCoopers can agree on at least one thing—recovery of revenue per available room is at least 18 months away.  Click here for full story…
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Hartsfield-Jackson sets flight record

Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport claimed a new world record for monthly flight operations in July. According to Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) data, Hartsfield-Jackson handled 88,408 flight operations last month, and set a new single-day record with 3,125 flight operations on July 13, making it the busiest day ever at Hartsfield-Jackson.  Ed Note: Economic Insulator, number one [...]
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U.S. air travel down 9.3% in May

U.S. air travel in May was down 9.3 percent from a year earlier, the 14th consecutive monthly year-to-year decline in air passenger totals nationwide, the U.S. Department of Transportation reported Thursday.
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BB&T launches $750M offering

BB&T Corp. has launched a $750 million public offering of its common stock. The bank will use the proceeds for general corporate purposes. The underwriters will have a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 15 percent in shares to cover overallotments. On Friday, BB&T took control of Colonial BancGroup Inc., Alabama’s third-largest state-chartered bank, after it [...]
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RENAISSANCE; 279-room hotel is under the control of a court-appointed receiver

The downtown Renaissance Syracuse Hotel, a 20-story landmark that was reborn in 2003 following a $19 million renovation, has fallen on hard times. The 279-room hotel is under the control of a court-appointed receiver while the hotel’s mortgage lender pursues foreclosure. The recession and a resulting drop in room occupancy are largely to blame, according to [...]
Posted in Hotels, Hotels for Sale | Comments closed

AirTran July traffic falls 5.1 percent

Passenger traffic, known as revenue passenger miles, dropped 5.1 percent to about 1.96 billion in July compared to July 2008. Capacity, or available seat miles, was down 4.1 percent. Load factor dipped 0.9 points to 88.3 percent.  -Causes future RevPAR losses – JLD | Click here for story…
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George Chen: China’s CIC to buy U.S. mortgages: sources

HONG KONG (Reuters) – China’s $200 billion sovereign wealth fund, which made big paper losses on stakes in Morgan Stanley and Blackstone, is set to invest up to $2 billion in U.S. mortgages as it eyes a property market recovery……Good news! -JLD –  Click here for full Reuters story….
Posted in Market News, Residential | Comments closed

InterContinental Hotels sees first-half profits crash 38%

InterContinental Hotels, the world’s biggest hotelier, suffered a 38 per cent fall in first-half profits and moved to cut costs deeper as it expected tough trading to continue through 2009. The British group, which operates the InterContinental, Crowne Plaza and Holiday Inn brands, said forward booking data showed no further deterioration in demand, with July benefiting [...]
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Joel Ross: Why hotel debt and values will be much different

Based on very good work done by PKF recently, we see that on average net operating income for hotels declined by about 39 percent on a revenue decline of around 18.5 percent, according to Smith Travel Research (Read “Who won in 2001?””). This is by far the worst decline in history, and it shows the [...]
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